◆ Statz Model

NBA Championship Futures

The outright board, de-vigged into a true implied chance for every team.

2025-26
No futures board posted
Championship odds appear once the outright market is up for the season.

Championship odds for all thirty teams, with the bookmaker's margin stripped out so the numbers read as probabilities rather than prices. An outright board always adds up to more than a hundred per cent — the excess is the book's hold — so the de-vigged column is the one to compare across teams. Prices come from the live outright market and refresh as the board moves.

Frequently asked

Raw outright prices imply probabilities that sum to well over one hundred per cent, because the book builds in its margin. De-vigging scales them back to sum to one hundred, which is what makes two teams' chances comparable.

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