◆ Statz Model

NBA Player Projections

A full projected stat line for every rotation player, with a floor and a ceiling on each number.

PlayerGamePTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
JBNYK
Jalen Brunson
G · NYK
vs PHI20 Oct
26.3
13.8–38.7
3.7
0.6–6.7
5.9
2.3–9.5
2.5
0.1–4.9
0.8
0–2.2
0.1
0–0.6
Cade CunninghamDET
Cade Cunningham
G-F · DET
vs BOS20 Oct
24.3
12.3–36.3
5.9
2.1–9.8
7.8
3.5–12
2.1
0–4.3
1.1
0–2.7
0.8
0–2
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · OKC
@ SAS20 Oct
24.3
12.3–36.3
3.5
0.5–6.5
5.9
2.3–9.5
1.6
0–3.4
1.2
0–2.8
0.7
0–1.8
VWSAS
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · SAS
vs OKC20 Oct
23.5
11.7–35.3
11.1
5.8–16.4
3.1
0.5–5.7
2
0–4.1
1
0–2.4
2.8
0.3–5.4
Jayson TatumBOS
Jayson Tatum
F · BOS
@ DET20 Oct
21.3
10.1–32.6
9
4.2–13.8
4.5
1.4–7.6
2.4
0.1–4.8
1.1
0–2.7
0.4
0–1.2
Joel EmbiidPHI
Joel Embiid
F-C · PHI
@ NYK20 Oct
19.2
8.6–29.9
7.2
2.9–11.4
3.2
0.5–5.8
1.2
0–2.9
0.5
0–1.5
1.3
0–2.9
Jaylen BrownPHI
Jaylen Brown
G · PHI
@ NYK20 Oct
19
8.4–29.6
5.8
2–9.6
3.2
0.5–5.8
1.7
0–3.7
0.8
0–2.2
0.6
0–1.7
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
Tyrese Maxey
G · PHI
@ NYK20 Oct
18.9
8.3–29.5
3.9
0.8–7.1
4.3
1.2–7.3
2.3
0–4.5
1.2
0–2.8
0.7
0–1.8
OANYK
OG Anunoby
F · NYK
vs PHI20 Oct
17.4
7.3–27.6
5.6
1.8–9.3
1.8
0–3.8
2.7
0.2–5.2
1
0–2.5
0.9
0–2.2
Paul GeorgeBOS
Paul George
F · BOS
@ DET20 Oct
17
7–27.1
4.7
1.3–8.2
2.9
0.4–5.4
2.5
0.1–4.9
1.5
0–3.2
0.6
0–1.6
Every rotation player, projected
  • Points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals and blocks
  • A floor and a ceiling on every number
  • Sorted, filtered and updated hourly as news lands
Create a free account

Already a member? Log in

The projected box score for tonight, player by player. Points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals and blocks, each with a floor and a ceiling alongside the projection so the spread of outcomes is on the page rather than hidden behind one figure. Filter by team, by game or by position, and sort by any stat to find who the model expects to carry the load. Every line is built from recent usage and minutes against the projected pace of that specific matchup.

Frequently asked

They bound the range the model expects the result to fall in most of the time. A narrow band means a settled role and predictable minutes; a wide one means the player's night could go several ways. Use the band, not just the middle number, when a projection is close to a line you are pricing.

Related projections